The proxy trap: When easy data measures the wrong thing

You want to improve a practice, but the easiest available data show whether someone opened a module or checked a box. Those data may be useful. The problem begins when you treat them as proof of something they do not directly measure.

A proxy is an indirect indicator used to stand in for a concept. The key question is not whether proxies are always wrong. It is whether the evidence supports the interpretation you want to make. SQUIRE asks you to explain why a measure was chosen and how its validity was assessed. [1]

Follow the concept, not the available field

Hypothetical example. A clinic wants patients to understand appointment preparation instructions. The electronic record contains a field labeled “instructions provided.” After staff training, that field is completed more often.

The change supports a conclusion about documentation. It may reflect more instruction, better recording of existing instruction, or both. It does not by itself show that patients understood or followed the instructions.

Intended concept Convenient indicator What that indicator directly supports
Patient understanding “Instructions provided” checkbox Documentation that instruction was recorded.
Staff competence Self-rated confidence How capable staff say they feel.
Skill acquisition Training attendance Exposure to the training opportunity.
Behavior in practice Knowledge quiz score Performance on the quiz, not routine behavior.

These measures can belong in a project when they match a stated question. A confidence outcome is not wrong simply because it is not a competence measure. It becomes misleading when the project claims competence from confidence alone.

Choose a closer measure when possible

For the instruction project, you could assess whether patients identify the correct preparation steps using a consistent brief check. That moves the measurement closer to understanding. It still does not prove that they will follow the instructions later.

You might retain the documentation field as a process measure and use the understanding check as a nearer outcome. This gives each measure a clear role rather than asking one convenient field to answer every question.

A closer measure may require more staff time, training, or permission. Balance those demands openly. When a proxy is the only feasible choice, name it accurately, explain the reason for using it, and limit the conclusion to what it can support.

Your next decision

Write two sentences: “I want to know whether ___ changed” and “My data directly show ___.” If they name different things, identify the missing link. Either strengthen the measurement or narrow the claim. See Valid, feasible, relevant: Choosing outcome measures for selecting measures and Outcome, process, and balancing measures for assigning their roles.

Sources

[1] Ogrinc, G., Davies, L., Goodman, D., Batalden, P., Davidoff, F., & Stevens, D. (2015). SQUIRE 2.0: Standards for QUality Improvement Reporting Excellence. Checklist.